The latest research by eXp UK, the platform for personal estate agents and estate agency businesses, has revealed that whilst the prolonged period of market uncertainty caused by increasing interest rates is set to see the total market size of the estate agency sector contract in 2024, 2025 is predicted to bring a more positive picture and an reversal in current trends.
The company analysed the latest data looking at the market size of the real estate agent market in the UK based on revenue and how this is forecast to change both this year and next.
The figures show that:
The total size of the sector sat at £15.325bn in 2023 having increased by 1% versus 2022.
However, since December 2021, homebuyers have been hit with increasingly higher mortgage costs as a result of upward trending interest rates and the impact on the market is clear to see.
Between 2021 and 2022 the size of the UK estate agency sector increased by 13.9% before this rate of growth fell to the 1% seen between 2022 and 2023.
What’s more, this total market size based on revenues is expected to decline in 2024, with an estimated -0.4% reduction placing total market size at £15.265bn.
However, 2024 has already proved to be a more positive year for the market and mortgage approvals and house prices are starting to show signs of consistent increase, with market sentiment buoyed by the first cut to interest rates since 2020 with at least one more likely before the year is out.
As a result of this improving market sentiment, the total market size of the UK estate agency sector is forecast to climb to £15.389bn in 2025. Not only will this mark an annual increase of 0.8%, but it will also see market size sit some 14.5% above that seen in 2021 before the base rate started to climb.
Data tables and sources can be viewed online, here.